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us-market-bubble-detector

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Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing.

When to use

• User asks "Is the market in a bubble?" or "Are we in a bubble?"
• User seeks advice on profit-taking, new entry timing, or short-selling decisions
• User reports social phenomena (non-investors entering, media frenzy, IPO flood)
• User mentions narratives like "this time is different" or "revolutionary technology" becoming mainstream
• User consults about risk management for existing positions
• ユーザーが「今の相場はバブルか?」と尋ねる
• 投資の利確・新規参入・空売りのタイミング判断を求める
• 社会現象(非投資家の参入、メディア過熱、IPO氾濫)を観察し懸念を表明

When not to use

• subjective impressions without data
• evaluation without Phase 1 data collection

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