domains / families / business / marks-cycles

marks-cycles

separate

Use when evaluating markets through Howard Marks-style second-level thinking, credit cycles, risk premiums, market psychology, and defensive versus aggressive posture.

When to use

• Market cycle diagnosis
• Credit spread and risk premium review
• Second-level thinking on a crowded view
• Defensive or aggressive portfolio posture
• Whether risk is being rewarded or ignored

When not to use

• The user needs a precise technical entry only.
• There is no market, valuation, credit, or sentiment context.
• The user asks for a prediction without uncertainty ranges.
• The setup requires leverage or forced timing.

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