domains / families / business / macro-regime-detector

macro-regime-detector

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Detect structural macro regime transitions (1-2 year horizon) using cross-asset ratio analysis. Analyze RSP/SPY concentration, yield curve, credit conditions, size factor, equity-bond relationship, and sector rotation to identify regime shifts between Concentration, Broadening, Contraction, Inflationary, and Transitional states. Run when user asks about macro regime, market regime change, structural rotation, or long-term market positioning.

When to use

• User asks about current macro regime or regime transitions
• User wants to understand structural market rotations (concentration vs broadening)
• User asks about long-term positioning based on yield curve, credit, or cross-asset signals
• User references RSP/SPY ratio, IWM/SPY, HYG/LQD, or other cross-asset ratios
• User wants to assess whether a regime change is underway

When not to use

• tactical market top detection
• current market breadth snapshot
• daily granularity analysis

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